Early NFL lines often mislead, like when a team opens at -3 and drifts to -4.5...

https://elliotsinspiringblog.scriblorax.com/posts/is-it-okay-to-skip-betting-nfl-until-week-4

Early NFL lines often mislead, like when a team opens at -3 and drifts to -4.5 by game time. Jumping in too soon means risking worse odds and less value